12 Oct 2016

Race 17 – 53 Laps – 5.807km per lap – 307.471km race distance – medium tyre wear

Japanese GP F1 Strategy Report Podcast – our host Michael Lamonato is joined by Abhishek Takle – F1 journalist.

Nico Rosberg cemented his lead in the drivers’ championship with a dominant victory at the Japanese Grand Prix, but behind there were plenty of frenetic battles and tense fights over the remaining 21 places.

For only the seventh time in F1 history, all of the drivers made it to the chequered flag. As always at Suzuka, the racing was exciting and there was a decent amount of strategy to keep an eye on too. Max Verstappen finished in second place, with Lewis Hamilton in third.

Away from the Hamilton Snapchat controversy and Verstappen/Mercedes protest (which soon became a non-protest), let’s take a look at the main strategy headlines from the Japanese GP:

Two stops dominate

The vast majority of the F1 grid completed a two-stop strategy at Suzuka, as predicted by Pirelli before the race. Bringing the hard, soft and medium tyres and the cooler temperatures in the race meant each compound lasted a decent amount of time, so wear and degradation wasn’t a major issue.

We did hear a few radio messages during the race of drivers losing temperature in their tyres and struggling a little with wear, but the Pirelli compounds largely held up well. It could be argued the tyre supplier should’ve gone a step up to create more strategy options and produce quicker lap times.

Doing something different

A season or two ago it was rare for all three tyre compounds to be used for the first stint of a race, but this has proved to be the case several times in 2016 so far. It’s probably in part due to the smaller gap between the compounds and also the closer pack in general, meaning teams are willing to take a risk to try and make a difference.

Jenson Button, Felipe Nasr and Kevin Magnussen all started on the hard tyre. Button had a poor start and that hampered his running on the tyre but the others proved to be fairly competitive against those on the other compounds. Nasr and Magnussen each did 25 laps on their tyres, while Button only did 15.

Felipe Massa, Valtteri Bottas, Jolyon Palmer and Marcus Ericsson all lined up on the mediums. This enabled them all to stay out longer and move up the field while others pitted, but they then lost time as those who had already stopped made a move back up the order. Massa managed 24 laps, while Bottas was on used mediums and completed 26.

How Hamilton fought back

Hamilton had a disastrous start and dropped from second to eighth on the opening lap, in part blaming himself and also a slightly damp inside line on the grid from earlier rain. Mercedes had already locked him into a soft tyre first stint, but the soft compound eventually helped him make up ground with the Mercedes’ superior pace.

None of the top six used the medium tyre, with Hamilton pitting later than the rest to go onto the hard tyre. It worked and he made up a few places with the stop, with another set on the stable yet speedy hard compound putting him in contention for a podium.

He then used the Mercedes’ better race pace compared to the Red Bull to close on Verstappen but the Dutch driver’s aggressive defence caused him to go straight on at the final chicane with a few laps to go and he had to settle for third.

Stopping just once

There were a few teams going for an alternative route with strategy. Two stops was the safe bet but the tyres performed so well, some were able to pit just once. There were also few incidents on track, which helped make this a relatively straight-forward strategic race (which is good, in a way, but we’d have liked to see a more varied amount of strategy).

Massa and Bottas both used one stop, going from the mediums to the hard tyre, to move into the top 10 after disappointing qualifying sessions and first laps. Mid-race, it looked like the team was in for a tough and point-less race but they clawed it back with long stints on the hard tyre to end the race.

Ericsson also used this strategy to good effect, while Magnussen and Nasr stopped once, but with starting on the hard tyre and ending on the mediums. It didn’t work quite as well, maybe due to the more rubbered-in and warmer track towards the end of the race.

Two soft tyre stints

Unusually, it looked like the hard compound tyre was the one to go for during the race, but a few drivers tried to use the soft tyre’s quicker pace and faster wear to make up ground. Sebastian Vettel and Jenson Button both spent two stints on the softest of the three compounds.

For Vettel, he made most of his progress in the early stint, using the faster speed of the Ferrari to move through the midfield runners after his penalty. His team-mate Kimi Raikkonen did the same, albeit at a slightly slower rate.

He was holding third after the first stop but lost out to Hamilton with his second trip to the pits, but a new set of softs right to the end did help him keep hold of fourth. Button two stints on the soft to end the race and it moved him up a few positions with a more aggressive strategy but he’d lost so much time in the first stint and start, it only got him to 18^th.

Jack Leslie @JackLeslieF1

Longest Stints

Hard: Massa, Kvyat (29 laps)
Medium: Nasr, Magnussen (27 laps)
Soft: Vettel (19 laps)

Episode 16 of the 2016 Strategy Podcast: by Formula Legend provides insight & analysis of strategic decisions made during the 2016 Malaysian Grand Prix.

Our host Michael Lamonato is joined by Rod Gordon from Superlicense F1 Podcast.

For full written report about the strategy plays in this race, and detailed data (including all the stints and tyre choices) click here. All of the previous written reports are here.

All of our previous F1 Strategy Report Podcasts are here.

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Contact us on twitter @strategyreport.

5 Oct 2016

Race 16 – 56 Laps – 5.543km per lap – 310.408km race distance – medium tyre wear

Malaysian GP F1 Strategy Report Podcast – our host Michael Lamonato is joined by Rod Gordon from Superlicense F1 Podcast.

The 2016 Malaysian Grand Prix kicked off with high drama at the first corner, before calming down until the excitement returned for the final 20 laps.

Daniel Ricciardo held off his team-mate Max Verstappen to take his first win of the year, after Lewis Hamilton retired from the lead with 15 laps to go after a spectacular and fiery engine failure.

As always in Sepang, strategy proved to be a crucial element in deciding the race order and there were some fascinating decisions made by the teams. Here are all of the major strategy headlines from the Malaysian GP:

Rosberg fights back

Nico Rosberg was rudely tapped into a spin at the first corner by Sebastian Vettel, ruining the Ferrari driver’s race and severely hampering Rosberg’s challenge. He dropped right to the back of the field but his fight back was impressive and showed the dominance of the Mercedes W07.

Mercedes opted for quite an aggressive strategy to get him up the field. Having started on the soft tyre, he then switched to the hard compound for a long middle stint, where he could make progress up the field due to the advantage he had with his car.

The team moved onto another set of hard tyres for the third stint but then reacted to those around Rosberg and pitted for softs under the Virtual Safety Car for Hamilton’s stranded Silver Arrows, by which point he was already into podium contention and was able to recover to third.

Verstappen does something different

Verstappen started well but the Vettel/Rosberg incident delayed him and he lost a little ground. Red Bull opted to split their strategies and unusually it was the second car on the road, Verstappen, who pitted first.

He went onto another used set of softs for the second stint, before going onto the hard compound on lap 27. Verstappen was looking in a good position to challenge, despite stopping more times than Ricciardo, but the final trip to the pits on lap 41 – where he went for scrubbed softs again – got rid of his advantage and meant he couldn’t quite challenge for victory.

Could Verstappen have won, though?

It seems possible Verstappen could have gone to the end on the hard tyres he went onto on lap 27, there were longer stints out there on that compound but it was a risk. Because the VSC levels the pace of the field out, pitstops don’t cost as much time and Ricciardo would’ve easily closed in on fresher rubber.

Verstappen, on a different strategy, had looked in a good position but its possible that even if he had stayed out, he would’ve lost the win to Ricciardo. He would’ve had a better chance if Red Bull had put him on new softs, like Ricciardo, for the run to the flag but they may well have been limited with tyre options on Verstappen’s car.

Palmer nabs a point

Jolyon Palmer finally picked up his first F1 point with 10^th place in a very unusual strategy. It’s not often we see all three tyre compounds used at the start but Palmer had the hard tyre for his first stint, so this is exactly what we saw.

He moved up the order and dropped back as others pitted, switched tyres and went for different strategies, but decent and consistent pace throughout his long first stint brought Palmer into contention and the hard tyre held up well in the warm conditions.

The Brit went onto a new set of softs on lap 31 and from there, he was able to make it to the finish while holding off the advances of Carlos Sainz Jr. and Marcus Ericsson. It was a good drive from Palmer and was also thanks to a strong strategic move by Renault.

All three compounds get good use

Considering the warm temperatures, the Pirelli tyres held up very well in the heat and humidity of Malaysia and that meant we could well have saw most of the field pit just twice. The Virtual Safety Cars shook this up though and effectively gave people the chance to pit without losing as much time.

All three tyre compounds got extensive use during the race, with the medium being run by quite a few people in the middle of the stint – Valtteri Bottas, Felipe Nasr and Kevin Magnussen even started on the compound. The hard tyre held up well, with a smaller gap to the medium, so it was actually a popular race tyre.

Early stops for some

A couple of drivers suffered hits early in the race, with the first corner mayhem sparking several incidents behind them. Felipe Massa, Daniil Kvyat, Esteban Gutierrez and Kevin Magnussen all stopped on lap one and that put them on the back foot from the very beginning. With the VSC then out on lap nine, that made it harder for them to bounce back.

Jack Leslie @JackLeslieF1

Longest Stints

Hard: Palmer (31 laps)
Medium: Nasr (32 laps)
Soft: Palmer (25 laps)

Most Stops

Massa, Gutierrez, Raikkonen, Alonso, Hulkenberg, Verstappen, Kvyat, Rosberg, Wehrlein (3)